Wolves vs Liverpool Prediction: Premier League Match Preview

We look ahead to Saturday’s Premier League game at Molineux with our Wolves vs Liverpool prediction and preview. Can Gary O’Neil’s team stop the rot? The supercomputer doesn’t think so.

Wolves vs Liverpool Stats: The Key Insights

• Liverpool are clear favourites, with Opta’s supercomputer ranking their chances of a victory at 65.9%.
• Wolves are on the longest winless run of any current Premier League club.
• The hosts have lost more Premier League games to the Reds than they have against any other opponent.

Liverpool head back on the road on Saturday, as they take on winless Wolves at Molineux.

Arne Slot has won both of his away Premier League matches in charge of the Reds, with their only stumble under the Dutchman so far in the top flight coming at Anfield when they lost 1-0 to Nottingham Forest.  

For all their attacking talent, a solid defence has been the bedrock of Liverpool’s good form.

Liverpool have won five of their last six Premier League games (L1), keeping a clean sheet in each victory. They had conceded in each of their previous 10 games before this run (16 goals conceded in total).

Overall, Liverpool have conceded the fewest goals of any Premier League side this season (1), while no team has shipped more than Wolves (14). Meanwhile, Wolves’ 14 goals conceded is their most after five games of any league season since 1985-86 (14 in the third tier), and their most in the top flight since 1970-71 (14).

No current Premier League side is on a longer run without a clean sheet than Gary O’Neil’s team, who have conceded in each of their last 17 top-flight matches (tied with Southampton). It’s Wolves’ longest run without a shutout in the competition since a run of 30 in 2011-12.

Wolves have lost their last two Premier League games despite having led at half-time in each (2-1 vs Newcastle United, 3-1 vs Aston Villa). No team in Premier League history has lost three consecutive matches having been ahead at the break each time.

If they are to stop the rot on Saturday, they will likely need Matheus Cunha – who opened the scoring against Villa last week – to stand up and be counted.

Since the start of last season, Cunha has been involved in more Premier League goals for Wolves than any other player (21 – 14 goals, seven assists). Eight of his last 13 goals for the club have either put them ahead (2) or drawn them level (6) in the match.

Going the other way, Wolves – who have been hit by a long-term injury to defender Yerson Mosquera – have plenty to worry about.

Luis Díaz has been involved in six goals in his last four Premier League appearances, scoring five and assisting one. He has scored a brace in two of his last three league outings, having netted multiple goals in just one of his first 69 Premier League games.

Meanwhile, Trent Alexander-Arnold’s assist in the 3-0 win over Bournemouth last time out was his 59th in the Premier League, moving him one ahead of Steve McManaman as the outright third most for Liverpool in the Premier League. It also moved him level with teammate Andrew Robertson for most assists by a defender in the competition’s history.

Wolves vs Liverpool Head-to-Head

The omens are not good for Wolves. They have lost more Premier League games to Liverpool than against any other opponent (16).

Indeed, they have lost 14 of their last 15 against the Reds in the league, the exception being a 3-0 home win in February 2023.

On the other hand, Liverpool have kept a clean sheet in 65% of their Premier League games against Wolves (13/20), the second-highest rate of any side to have faced another 20+ times in the competition, after Chelsea against Middlesbrough (67% – 20/30).

Liverpool have reeled off three wins in their last three league games against Wolves, scoring seven times across those fixtures and conceding just once in return.

Wolves vs Liverpool Prediction

It is no surprise that Liverpool are the big favourites. The Reds came out on top in 65.9% of the simulations run by Opta’s supercomputer. Wolves are handed a 15.0% win probability, while the likelihood of a draw is 19.1%.

Wolves vs Liverpool Predicted Lineups

Opta Power Rankings

The Opta Power Rankings are a global team ranking system that assigns an ability score to over 13,000 domestic football teams on a scale between zero and 100, where zero is the worst-ranked team in the world and 100 is the best team in the world.

Ahead of kick-off this weekend, here is the Opta Power Ranking for both sides.

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